DOLLAR WORKSPACE / RESEARCH

What would you like to test?

Explore a theory. Follow the Bitcoin price path. Test the range of dollar outcomes with Monte Carlo.

MEASURE SUCCESS INUS dollars · USD

REFERENCEUnhedged Agreements · your USD hurdle

APPROACHMatching simulations. Visible trade-offs.

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Scenario assumptionsGBM60 months240 planned AgreementsSeed 42Edit assumptions

These assumptions belong to this workspace. A completed comparison keeps its original inputs until you run again.

Bitcoin starting price · USD

Agreement term · months

Origination cohorts

Agreements per cohort

Purchase price · % of strike

Market experiment

Price drift parameter · % per year

Continuous drift: expected one-year price growth is exp(drift) − 1. Volatility lowers the median path.

Annual volatility · %

Lifetime Buyer default assumption · %

Current strategy for comparison

The one-path preview always shows unhedged Agreements. Choose which strategies to include in Compare, then run Monte Carlo.

Start with a question

Illustrative scenarios · review before running

Loading your dollar workspace…

YOUR NEXT STEP

Compare dollar gains with downside and cash needs before choosing a strategy.