DOLLAR WORKSPACE / COMPARE

Find the trade-off that works in dollars.

The same simulated Agreements and market paths, with every strategy measured in USD.

MEASURE SUCCESS INUS dollars · USD

REFERENCEUnhedged Agreements · your USD hurdle

APPROACHMatching simulations. Visible trade-offs.

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Scenario assumptionsGBM60 months240 planned AgreementsSeed 42Edit assumptions

These assumptions belong to this workspace. A completed comparison keeps its original inputs until you run again.

Bitcoin starting price · USD

Agreement term · months

Origination cohorts

Agreements per cohort

Purchase price · % of strike

Market experiment

Price drift parameter · % per year

Continuous drift: expected one-year price growth is exp(drift) − 1. Volatility lowers the median path.

Annual volatility · %

Lifetime Buyer default assumption · %

Current strategy for comparison

The one-path preview always shows unhedged Agreements. Choose which strategies to include in Compare, then run Monte Carlo.

Start with the strategies relevant to your objective. Each comparison includes the unhedged Agreements.

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